The Breakdown | Six Nations half-term report: France are flying while England’s decline is steep

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“Cut and sew is not the type of work Americans want,” Smeaton says. “In China, labor costs are $2 to $3 an hour. In America they are $20 an hour.” He explains that tariffs would have to rise to 500% to make reshoring worth considering. Many firms would be out of business long before then.

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But if net immigration to the U.S. stays in the red, the primary long-term effects would be fiscal in nature, as a shrinking workforce will do no favors for the country’s national debt. The Deloitte researchers wrote that immigration tends to have a “positive effect on the federal deficit, allowing revenue to rise faster than expenditure.”